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Step 4: Nottingham's Population

The statistics below provide information on trends affecting Nottingham’s population. This information is potentially useful for organisations wishing to submit fundraising applications to deliver projects across the City. These statistics can also be used to communicate your understanding of the needs of the population.

  • The latest estimate of the City’s resident population is 308,700, having risen by almost 5,000 since 2011.
  • It is estimated that this may rise to around 309,100 by 2016 and 321,300 by 2021.
  • International migration (recently from Eastern Europe) and an increase in student numbers are the main reasons for the population growth since 2001, together with the excess of births over deaths.
  • 28% of the population are aged 18 to 29 – full-time university students comprise about 1 in 8 of the population.
  • In the short to medium term, the City is unlikely to follow the national trend of seeing large increases in the number of people over retirement age, although the number aged 85+ is projected to increase.
  • The number of births has risen in recent years although the latest figures show a small decline.
  • The 2011 Census shows 35% of the population as being from BME groups; an increase from 19% in 2001.
  • Despite its young age-structure, Nottingham has a higher than average rate of people with a limiting long-term illness or disability.
  • White ethnic groups have higher rates of long term health problems or disability overall, although this varies with age, with some BME groups having higher rates in the older age-groups.
  • The City gains young adults due to migration, both international and within Britain, whilst losing all other age groups - this includes losing families with children as they move to the surrounding districts.
  • There is a high turnover of population – although data on turnover from the 2011 Census is not yet available, 17% of people changed address in the year before the 2001 Census (excluding students living in halls of residence.

Social and Environmental Study

  • Nottingham is ranked 20th most deprived district in England in the 2010 Indices of Multiple Deprivation (IMD), a relative improvement on 7th in the 2004 IMD.
  • Around a quarter of super output areas in the City are in the worst 10% nationally (IMD 2010).
  • 39.3% of children and 29.1% of people aged 60 and over are affected by income deprivation.
  • Crime is the Indices of Deprivation domain on which Nottingham does worst, followed by Education, Skills & Training and Health & Disability.
  • Nottingham ranks 346th out of the 354 districts in England in the 2009 Child Wellbeing Index - effectively the 9th worst district for Child Well-being in the Country.
  • The dominant Mosaic groups in Nottingham are Groups G, O, I, K and N. See the ‘customer insight’ section.
  • A higher proportion of people aged 16-64 in Nottingham claim some form of benefit than regionally and nationally. See the latest Quarterly Benefits Bulletin.
  • The unemployment rate is lower than the recent peak in March 2012, but remains higher than the regional and national average. See the latest Monthly Unemployment Note.
  • Residents who live in the City have a lower average income than people who work in the City. See the latest Summary of the Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings.
  • Despite large numbers of students, Nottingham has a higher proportion of people of working age with no qualifications, compared with the national average. See the latest Quarterly Indicators summary.
  • There are high levels of child poverty in the City with around a third of children and young people living in workless households. See the latest Child Poverty note.
  • Rates of car ownership are low, particularly amongst pensioners living alone and lone parents. See the 2011 Census data page.
© Nottingham City Council GIS Team, 2014.
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